The crypto market confronted a violent downturn, with Ethereum breaking beneath the $3,100 degree whereas Bitcoin misplaced the crucial $100,000 mark, triggering widespread liquidation and fear-driven promoting. Panic shortly rippled throughout the market, and sentiment flipped sharply bearish as merchants rushed to scale back publicity, worth targets vanished from social media, and danger property noticed a cascade of exits. In moments like these, feelings usually outweigh fundamentals — and this week was a transparent reminder of that dynamic.
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Nonetheless, even in intervals of sharp concern, not all market individuals behave the identical. Some notable gamers have begun shifting their stance, hinting that strategic positioning could already be underway beneath the panic. Amongst them is the well-known Anti-CZ Whale — a dealer who gained consideration after aggressively shorting ASTER instantly following Changpeng Zhao’s public publish saying he purchased ASTER. That commerce paid off massively as ASTER surged briefly after which retraced sharply, delivering this whale tens of thousands and thousands in unrealized revenue.
Now, in a notable shift, this dealer has flipped from shorting Ethereum to going lengthy, signaling renewed conviction regardless of the market’s emotional breakdown. As concern peaks, subtle gamers could already be making ready for the following part — elevating the query: is that this capitulation… or alternative?
Whale Rotates Into ETH Lengthy as Market Panic Peaks
Based on Lookonchain, the well-known Anti-CZ Whale has executed a notable portfolio shift, flipping from shorting Ethereum to taking a protracted place value 32,802 ETH (~$109 million). Now, the whale is sustaining a 58.27M ASTER brief (~$59.7M), signaling conviction that ASTER’s weak point could proceed regardless of current volatility.
Alongside this, the whale holds a 1.99B kPEPE brief (~$11.3M), a wager towards speculative memecoin flows throughout uncertainty. In the meantime, a small 130,566 DOGE lengthy (~$21.5K) seems extra symbolic than directional, possible serving as a hedge or sentiment gauge quite than a significant conviction play.
The standout transfer is clearly the ETH lengthy, signaling the whale views Ethereum’s drop beneath $3,100 as oversold quite than structurally bearish. Taking such a place throughout peak concern suggests an expectation of restoration as soon as pressured liquidations cool and liquidity stabilizes. Whereas broader sentiment stays fragile, this shift implies subtle capital could already be positioning for an eventual rebound — reinforcing ETH’s position as a core asset even amid aggressive market stress.
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ETH Worth Technical Outlook: Testing Key Help as Panic Promoting Eases
Ethereum is making an attempt to stabilize after a steep breakdown beneath the $3,500 area, with worth now reacting across the $3,300 zone. This degree aligns intently with the 200-day transferring common (pink line), making it a crucial help space for bulls to defend. The current candle construction reveals heavy volatility and excessive sell-side quantity, confirming panic-driven liquidations as the first pressure behind the transfer — quite than a basic shift in pattern.
The aggressive flush adopted a collection of decrease highs all through October, signaling weakening momentum earlier than the breakdown. The 50-day and 100-day transferring averages (blue and inexperienced) are trending down and presently overhead, including strain and reinforcing the short-term bearish construction. A restoration above the 50-day MA could be an early signal of energy, however Ethereum should reclaim the $3,500 zone to regain bullish management.
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Quantity has spiked dramatically, suggesting capitulation habits — usually close to cycle pivot factors. The wick close to $3,150 hints that patrons stepped in aggressively at lows, according to accumulation dynamics noticed amongst subtle merchants. If ETH holds above the 200-day MA and builds a base right here, it might arrange a aid rally. A sustained break beneath $3,150, nevertheless, dangers additional draw back towards $2,900 as liquidity pockets stay skinny beneath present ranges.
Featured picture from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
