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Bitcoin stays rangebound beneath $90,000, hovering close to one-month lows, as traders stay cautious forward of the Federal Reserve’s coverage assembly.
Market focus has shifted to the Federal Reserve’s two-day assembly, which concludes on Wednesday, with policymakers anticipated to maintain rates of interest unchanged.
Whereas a pause is essentially priced in, merchants are wanting intently on the Fed’s assertion and Chair Jerome Powell’s press convention for clues on the timing of potential fee cuts and the central financial institution’s inflation outlook.
Any shift in Powell’s tone might affect broader threat sentiment and liquidity.
How Bitcoin ($BTC) Is Prone to React to the FOMC Assembly: Classes From Previous Cycles
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) performs a crucial function in shaping international monetary markets by setting U.S. financial coverage.
With eight scheduled conferences every year, its choices on rates of interest instantly affect liquidity, threat urge for food, and capital flows throughout belongings, together with Bitcoin.
As markets stay up for the conclusion of the primary FOMC assembly on Wednesday, expectations for a January fee minimize stay extraordinarily low at simply 2.8%. This implies that financial easing is unlikely within the close to time period, maintaining monetary circumstances comparatively tight.
Historic knowledge from 2025 gives vital context for the way Bitcoin tends to react round these occasions. Out of eight FOMC conferences, Bitcoin’s worth declined after seven, with just one producing a short-lived rally.
The drawdowns have been typically sharp, starting from –6% to –29%, whereas BTC solely rallied in Could, with a +15% transfer earlier than momentum pale.
HOW BITCOIN $BTC WILL REACT TO FOMC MEETING, LAST TIME IT DROPPED BY -9%
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is chargeable for setting US financial coverage, assembly eight instances a 12 months to resolve rates of interest that form liquidity circumstances throughout international markets.
Wanting… pic.twitter.com/YBVr0fBXxn
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) January 27, 2026
A key takeaway from the historic knowledge is that FOMC weeks have constantly introduced heightened volatility and a threat of a BTC worth drop. Whereas markets typically rally forward of conferences on hopes of dovish indicators, the post-announcement response has leaned bearish normally.
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