XRP (XRP) value has been sealed in an eight-month downtrend, with the momentum indicators and the XRP/BTC ratio at ranges that beforehand marked cycle bottoms.
Key takeaways:
XRP’s RSI, MACD print traditional reversal sign
Information from TradingView reveals that XRP’s weekly relative energy index (RSI) reached an oversold stage of 29 on March 2, signaling fading bearish momentum.
Equally, the transferring common convergence divergence (MACD) indicator has dropped to its lowest stage ever and is about to supply a bullish cross.
Word that earlier bullish crosses, notably aligning with an oversold RSI, have marked macro bottoms for XRP/USD.
This finally led to 74%-230%% XRP value rallies, as seen in 2022 and mid-2024.
The RSI has now recovered to 34 from 29 in early March. When mixed with a purchase sign on the MACD, the image begins to resemble earlier cycles.
“Weekly RSI on $XRP simply hit one in all its lowest ranges in years,” analyst Arthur mentioned in an X put up on Sunday, including:
“The final time the weekly RSI reached these extremes, XRP was getting ready for a robust accumulation part. Is the weekly chart flashing a long-term backside sign?”
That is the second time “we’ve been oversold within the RSI,” fellow analyst Cryptoinsightuk mentioned in a latest YouTube video, including:
“The primary time was in July 2022, and it marked the precise backside for XRP.”
Moreover, XRP is starting to stabilize towards Bitcoin (BTC) on the backside of a protracted consolidation vary and has printed a better excessive on the each day chart, suggesting that “there’s some life on the backside of this vary,” the analyst added.
The final time XRP bottomed towards Bitcoin round this stage was in June 2025. It marked the start of a 56% enhance within the XRP/BTC ratio, accompanying a 92% XRP value rally to a multi-year excessive of $3.66.
Technicals apart, Cointelegraph reported that whale accumulation and excessive outflows from exchanges bolstered the long-term bullish case for XRP.
XRP value should maintain above $1.30
In the meantime, XRP/USD stays cautiously bullish so long as it holds the $1.27-$1.30 help zone.
XRP is “sitting at a really delicate stage, that is the place the market chooses route,” analyst Egrag Crypto mentioned in a latest X put up, referring to the world round $1.30.
“If this zone holds, we grind increased. If it breaks, we doubtless revisit deeper help round $1.15.”
The significance of this help stage is bolstered by price foundation distribution. The heatmap under reveals that almost 500 million XRP had been acquired round this value.
Under that, the following line of defence is the $1.15-$1.12 demand zone, the place the 200-week easy transferring common is.
If XRP/USD drops under this stage, it could be on a free-fall towards the measured goal of the bear flag at $0.80, or 42% under the present value.
As Cointelegraph reported, holding $1.27-$1.30 can be an indication of energy among the many bulls who should push the XRP/USD pair towards the $1.61 vary excessive to regain management.
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