Key takeaways:
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AVAX’s 10% to $33 on Tuesday is fueled by Avalanche treasury initiatives.
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Avalanche’s community progress in TVL and stablecoin market cap reveals booming DeFi adoption.
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AVAX’s rounded backside sample initiatives a short-term goal at $55, and $212 in the long run.
Avalanche’s AVAX (AVAX) token surged 10% to commerce above $33 on Tuesday amid a broader crypto market downturn, bucking the sell-off development. AVAX value is up 21.5% from its native low of $29, pushed by institutional momentum, signaling renewed confidence within the layer-1 token.
Optimistic fundamentals increase AVAX’s value
The Avalanche Basis has made a number of strikes to bolster AVAX’s institutional attraction. In early September, the nonprofit introduced plans to lift $1 billion by means of two US-based crypto treasury firms, enabling them to amass thousands and thousands of AVAX tokens at discounted charges from basis reserves.
Associated: WLFI Advisor Bets $2.2M AVAX, 10x Leverage After $550M
One car, led by Hivemind Capital and suggested by Anthony Scaramucci, targets $500 million through a Nasdaq-listed firm in a PIPE transaction. This was confirmed on Monday when AgriFORCE Rising Programs rebranded as Avax One, introduced plans to lift $550 million to construct a treasury centered on AVAX.
🔥 NEW: AgriFORCE Rising Programs to rename as AVAX One and plans to lift $550 million to determine the primary NASDAQ-listed firm with $AVAX treasury technique. pic.twitter.com/p8Q1KUwEMF
— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) September 23, 2025
The second shall be reportedly carried out through a particular goal acquisition car, which includes main business investor Dragonfly Capital and likewise goals to lift $500 million.
These treasury firms will stash AVAX, creating sustained shopping for stress and liquidity.
Institutional curiosity in AVAX has accelerated since February. Sweden-based asset supervisor Vitune launched a crypto exchange-traded product (ETP), exposing Finnish traders to AVAX.
This was adopted by international funding agency VanEck’s utility to launch an Avalanche exchange-traded fund (ETF) in March and Grayscale’s submitting to transform its current Avalanche Belief into an ETF final month. This additional cements this institutional wave, driving the newest value rally regardless of market headwinds.
Avalanche onchain exercise underpins AVAX value
Avalanche’s ecosystem has expanded in 2025 with technical upgrades and extra purposes.
The Octane improve in April slashed C-Chain charges by 98%, propelling common day by day transactions to 1.4 million by Q2 — a staggering 493% quarter-over-quarter rise — and energetic addresses up 57% to 46,397.
Over the past week of August, Avalanche led all blockchains in transaction progress, rising over 66% in a single week to hit an all-time excessive of two.22 million on Aug. 31. Though this worth has dropped since then, the metric stays excessive with the day by day transaction depend stabilizing above 1.2 million, per information from Nansen.
In the meantime, the full worth locked (TVL) doubled from $1 billion in April to $2.23 billion on the time of writing on Tuesday, reflecting a 120% progress post-Octane, pushed by protocols like Aave ($515 million TVL).
Stablecoin market cap rose to $2.16 billion on Tuesday, an 81% enhance during the last 30 days, based on DefiLlama.
Rising TVL and stablecoin market cap sign booming DeFi adoption and community utilization. This additionally enhances liquidity and potential for greater AVAX costs.
AVAX value chart: Rounded backside sample
AVAX’s day by day chart reveals the emergence of a rounded backside sample, a basic bullish reversal formation signaling accumulation after extended consolidation.
From July’s lows close to $17, the value has been tracing a mild U-shaped base by means of September. This formation is confirmed by an over 100% enhance in buying and selling quantity during the last 24 hours and a 17% bounce from Monday’s lows round $29, indicating sellers are exhausted and consumers are gaining management.
This setup creates two bullish targets for AVAX. The primary is a return to the sample’s neckline at $55, a 61% enhance from the present ranges.
A decisive day by day candlestick shut above this stage would affirm the sample, clearing the best way for a rally towards the second goal at $212, the measured projection of the chart beneath. Such a transfer would symbolize a 511% enhance from the present value.
Nonetheless, the bulls mustn’t get overconfident right here. The relative power index (RSI) is now close to the “overbought” threshold. Such elevated RSI ranges over the previous few years have preceded vital value corrections.
As Cointelegraph reported, AVAX value should overcome the quick resistance at $36 to extend the percentages of breaking by means of the psychological stage at $40 and later to the sample’s neckline at $55.
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.
