XRP (XRP) worth has plunged greater than 35% since reaching a multi-year excessive of $3.40 in January — and the downtrend could deepen in April as new bearish indicators emerge.
Let’s study these catalysts intimately.
XRP nears a traditional technical breakdown
XRP’s current worth motion is flashing a traditional bearish reversal sign dubbed “inverse cup and deal with formation.”
The inverse cup and deal with is a bearish chart sample that indicators fading purchaser momentum after an uptrend. It resembles an upside-down teacup, with the “cup” marking a rounded decline and the “deal with” forming after a short consolidation.
Inverse cup-and-handle sample illustrated. Supply: 5Paisa
A break beneath the deal with’s assist usually confirms the sample, typically resulting in a drop equal to the cup’s peak.
In XRP’s case, the rounded “cup” topped round March 19 and accomplished its curved decline by the tip of the month. The continued sideways worth motion between $2.05 and $2.20 types the “deal with.”
XRP/USD four-hour worth chart. Supply: TradingView
A breakdown beneath this horizontal consolidation vary may validate the bearish construction, opening the door for a possible transfer towards the $1.58 assist space — as prompt by the measured transfer projection proven on the chart above.
In different phrases, XRP can decline by over 25% in April if the inverse cup and deal with setup performs out as supposed.
Supply: Peter Brandt
Including to the sell-off threat is knowledge from the quantity profile seen vary (VPVR) indicator, which exhibits the purpose of management (POC) round $2.10–$2.20 — a key assist zone. A breakdown beneath this high-volume space may set off a sharper drop, as decrease quantity ranges beneath have supplied little historic assist in current historical past.
XRP/USD four-hour worth chart. Supply: TradingView
Conversely, a robust shut above the 50-period 4-hour EMA (pink line) close to $2.14 may invalidate the inverse cup-and-handle sample. Such a breakout could shift momentum in favor of the bulls, doubtlessly paving the way in which for a rally towards the 200-period 4-hour EMA (blue line) round $2.28.
Associated: Investor demand for XRP falls because the bull market stalls — Will merchants defend the $2 assist?
XRP whale movement level to extra promote stress
As of April 5, CryptoQuant’s 90-day transferring common whale movement chart was displaying sustained web outflows from XRP’s largest holders since late 2024.
XRP whale movement 90-day transferring common. Supply: CryptoQuant
Throughout XRP’s sharp worth increase in This autumn 2024, whale exercise flipped deeply adverse, indicating massive entities had been distributing into power and promoting the native tops. The pattern has continued into 2025, with the entire whale movement remaining firmly beneath zero.
This divergence between rising costs and declining whale assist suggests weakening institutional conviction and raises considerations over XRP’s near-term worth stability until accumulation resumes.
US President Donald Trump’s international tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s barely hawkish response to them have furthered dampened threat sentiment, which can weigh XRP and the broader crypto market down within the coming quarters.
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.
